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Dear RotoRob: Keeper Conundrum

February 17, 2008 | By RotoRob | comment on this post
It's hard to keep Bobby Abreu in the second round in some formats.
Is Bobby Abreu a wise use of a second round pick in a keeper league with very stringent rules?

Dear RotoRob,

You have helped me in the past, even posted my question on RotoRob.com, so I figured I would seek your help again.

I have a bit of a conundrum in my fantasy baseball keeper league. We just drafted last year, so this is the first offseason and thus the first time we choose our keepers for next year and, in some cases, for years to come. It’s a 12-team Roto league and the rules are as follows:
 
1. Each team will keep up to six players from its roster at the end of the season for the following season.
2. Each protected player will be locked into the round he is drafted.
3. Free agents are protected as 10th round draft picks.
4. Players selected in the following rounds can be protected for the following periods of time: b. Rounds 1-3: for two seasons (protect once) c. Rounds 4-6: for three seasons (protect twice) d. Rounds 7 and higher: for four seasons (protect three times).
 
My options are as follows:

First round: Johan Santana
Second round: Bobby Abreu, Vladimir Guerrero (via trade of Tim Lincecum and Yovani Gallardo)
Third round: Matt Holliday
Fourth round: Joe Mauer
Sixth round: Brian Roberts
Eighth round: J.J. Putz
10th round: Hunter Pence, Fausto Carmona, Homer Bailey
21st round: B.J. Upton

I would love to hear your thoughts. What do the more seasoned answer guys think? I was hoping we could at least open a dialogue as we have until the middle of March to make a decision.
 
Thanks and my apologies for the lack of brevity. Hope all is well and keep up the terrific work.

Jordan

Jordan,

First, I’ve played in Diamond Mind Baseball sim leagues for over a decade and I don’t like your keeper rules with regards to the round thing. That is stupid since someone could select Francisco Liriano in the first round and be done with him for a season and lose their next first round pick, as I understand it. Rules with the draft times don’t make the league fun from my experience because it is not realistic — too much turnover in players for my taste. You can draft great and get punished for it essentially. Anyways, on to your dilemma.

You have to keep Johan, Mauer, Upton, Pence, Bailey and Matt Holliday. Vlad would be nice, but you just don’t have the room for him. I’d consider packaging him with say, Bailey, and see if you can flip them into a top hitter or starter. That way you stay under the six-man rule and get another top player for a guy that was going to be a number casualty. Oh, you gave up way too much for Vlad to start with. Lincecum and Gallardo are very good young pitchers.

Package Vlad and Bailey and see if you can snag a top tier starter or hitter. I’d want a pitcher since you have the hitters in place already.

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