2020 NFL Draft Kit: Top 150 Overall
No need to reach for wide receivers when guys like D.J. Moore can be had in the third or fourth round. (Yahoo! Sports)
We’re back with possibly the final installment of the 2020 RotoRob NFL Draft Kit, featuring our guide to the top 150 players, specifically geared towards 10-team PPR leagues.
We’ve also included a link to a handy spreadsheet which provides more in-depth information. In this spreadsheet, you’ll find our positional tiers, expert ranks, sleepers and shy-aways, plus Yahoo’s expert ranks and Yahoo’s as well as FantasyPro’s ADP to help our readers better understand draft capital. The column D.I.R. (difference in rank) shows the difference in positional ranks and who we consider to be steal or bust. It’s a super useful tool to help you through your Fantasy football draft.
In addition to our spreadsheet and the extensive list below, we would like to offer some sage advice.
Running back scarcity has hit a peak. The affects from Covid-19 has inflated the value of players that are grandfathered into an offense. Combine that with the dying bell cow running back, and it will be more important than ever to reach for a dominant back.
Wide receivers are plentiful this year. The WR value at rounds three to four include names like D.J. Moore (a dude with a chip on his shoulder who believes he can be a No. 1 WR — see video below), Calvin Ridley, Odell Beckham Jr., Terry McLaurin and many others with top 12 production potential.
Stacks are important in 2020. In the short training camp, quarterbacks will tend to rely on their grandfathered pass-catcher. Stacks we love: Ridley and Matt Ryan; Michael Gallup and Dak Prescott; Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs; Travis Kelce and Patrick Mahomes; and Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle.
Now, let’s get to our Top 150 rankings for the 2020 Fantasy football season. Good luck to all our readers!
1. Saquon Barkley, New York Giants (RB1): He’s in an up-tempo offense with Daniel Jones and the Giants’ O-line is trending up.
2. Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers (RB2): He’s arguably the No. 1 player in Fantasy football, but there’s some uncertainly given the team turnover with a new Head Coach (Matt Rhule) and quarterback (Teddy Bridgewater).
3. Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (RB3): Expect less usage but more efficiency, a la 2018 Todd Gurley. Handcuff Zeke with Tony Pollard.
4. Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings (RB4): There are no holdout concerns here, but there are injury risks. Handcuff the centrepiece of OC Gary Kubiak‘s offense with Alexander Mattison.
5. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints (RB5): Kamara now has Emmanuel Sanders competing for targets. Kamara’s efficiency dipped after injury, so if you grab him, also draft Latavius Murray for insurance.
6. Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (WR1): Sanders will also eat into Thomas’ target monopoly. Although if this is Drew Brees‘ last year, he’s most likely to lean on his familiar targets.
7. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans (RB6): Henry’s ADP is rightly inflated; he has the lowest PPR upside in the first round.
8. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs (RB7): With Damien Williams opting out, Edwards-Helaire gets a boost. CEH is a good scheme fit on a prolific offense and he offers PPR upside.
9. Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals (RB8): Mixon finished last season as the 13th ranked player in PPR leagues and the 10th ranked RB overall. After Cincinnati’s Week Nine bye, he was the fourth-ranked back in PPR formats, with Head Coach Zac Taylor‘s support.
10. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles (RB9): He’s dynamic, but Sanders’ ADP is inflated given that he’s likely going to be the lead back in an RBBC and there’s still the risk that Philly signs another back for the vet minimum. Either way, expect less red zone work.
11. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers (WR2): Adams will be a monster this season as he has a volume monopoly with the lack of a true WR2 on the team plus Aaron Rodgers will be better.
12. Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns (RB10): Chubb possess elite backfield talent, but his production relies on Head Coach Kevin Stefanski and whether Chubb is employed as a three-down back. Monopolize the tandem by drafting Kareem Hunt.
13. Kenyan Drake, Arizona Cardinals (RB11): Drake’s on a high-tempo team that ranked in the top three in rushing DVOA. He’ll get limited passing work, but is in a system that offers a positive game-script. Nore that Drake was held out of practice Monday and was sporting a new walking boot, so handcuff him with Chase Edmonds.
14. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons (WR3): Jones benefits from an elite game-script. He offers veteran experience and stacks well with Ryan. Better yet, Hayden Hurst is unlikely to cannibalize Jones’ targets.
15. James Conner, Pittsburgh Steelers (RB12): Conner is an undervalued bell cow RB. He offers both touchdown and PPR upside, playing behind an O-line that’s top 10.
16. Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers (RB13): Ekeler is stuck in a slow offense with a bad QB, O-line and tempo, but he’s an incredible pass catcher. He has a shot to again be the team’s No. 2 receiver.
17. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (WR4): Hill is a grandfathered receiver in a prolific offense. He stacks nicely with Mahomes, is fast and is apparently really good with children. Note that Hill was limited in Monday’s practice after being diagnosed with a “minor” hamstring strain.
18. George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers (TE1): Kittle is undervalued, perhaps because he had three touchdowns recalled and played on a broken foot in 2019. [UPDATE: Deebo Samuels is on the PUP, Brandon Aiyuk‘s availability for the opener is in question and Jalen Hurd is on the IR.]
19. Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears (WR5): Robinson soaks up targets similar to Philly’s Alshon Jeffery and he has no competition. Robinson was unfazed by Mitchell Trubisky but should have better production with Nick Foles.
20. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (TE2): Kelce is the safest TE in Fantasy. He’s a grandfathered pass catcher and stacks with Mahomes.
21. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (WR6): The departure of Diggs frees up 90+ targets and OC Kubiak features his WR1, boosting Thielen’s PPR value.
22. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (WR7): While Evans suffers from a reduced game-script advantage, he will benefits from Tom Brady‘s accuracy and sustained drives.
23. Melvin Gordon, Denver Broncos (RB14): Gordon will likely be in an RBBC, but should have the goal line advantage. He played with a similar run-centric scheme and pace on the Chargers.
24. Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions (WR8): Golladay is cemented as the No. 1 receiver and benefits from an elite game-script. Marvin Jones will eat into his targets, but Golladay has touchdown upside and stacks well with Matthew Stafford.
25. Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers (RB15): Jones will suffer touchdown regression as AJ Dillon will vulture some of the scores. Expect a 60-40 split backfield with either Dillon or Jamaal Williams. Shy away.
26. DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona Cardinals (WR9): Hopkins is overvalued, as he’s likely to see a target share of under 25 per cent for the first time since Andre Johnson retired. Hopkins must score touchdowns to justify his ADP, so we suggest you shy away.
27. Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (WR10): Godwin is being overdrafted. He suffers from a reduced game-script advantage and is likely to play more 12 formations. And then there’s the Rob Gronkowski cannibalization factor.
28. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (QB1): The Super Bowl MVP is back and KC retained most of the team. He’s now secured financially long-term and stacks well with Kelce and Hill.
29. D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers (WR11): Moore is a proven lead pass catcher with PPR upside and his ADot meshes well with Bridgewater. Moore benefits from an elite game-script, but has the downside of a revolving door at QB in recent years.
30. Terry McLaurin, Washington Redskins (WR12): McLaurin is the cheapest WR1, but is the only viable pass catcher in Washington and enjoys a positive game-script. He’s dynamic regardless of the QB.
31. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders (RB16): Jacobs is Derrick Henry Lite. Yes, there’s some touchdown upside here, but Jacobs’ value has been wrongly inflated. He’s a downer in PPR and has to deal with a negative game-script.
32. A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans (WR13): Brown is a breakout candidate given his monopoly on target share. However, he’s in a run-centric offense, so can be frustrating to own in season long leagues.
33. Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons (WR14): Ridley is the best 1B Fantasy receiver. The departures of Mohamed Sanu, Devonta Freeman and Austin Hooper frees up 150+ targets. Ridley also has an elite game-script and stacks well with Ryan.
34. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles (TE3): Ertz is being under-drafted. Jeffery is on the PUP, Jalen Reagor is still a rookie receiver and DeSean Jackson‘s body is made of glass. Expect Ertz to lead the Eagles in targets.
35. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (RB17): Taylor plays behind the best O-line in the league, although there’s a split backfield with Marlon Mack, the talented and explosive Taylor has goal line upside.
36. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (QB2): Jackson is likely due for some regression, but it’s not definite. After all, he had the best TD passing rate in the league and has the highest ceiling of any QB.
37. Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys (WR15): Cooper has a solid floor, but low ceiling. He’s overpriced if not stacked with Dak. Gallup provides better value related to ADP.
38. Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns (WR16): OBJ is an elite talent, but playing in a run-centric offense capped his opportunities. Hooper is an issue so expect fewer than 120 targets.
39. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh Steelers (WR17): There are lots of mouths to feed in Pittsburgh: Diontae Johnson, James Washington, Eric Ebron and Conner. Given the quantity of targets Smith-Schuster receives, he offers PPR upside, but given the quality of targets, you might want to shy away.
40. D.J. Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars (WR18): Chark is undervalued, given that he measures out like D.J. Metcalf. Chark has rapport with Gardner Minshew and an elite game-script.
41. Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams (WR19): Woods is undervalued, as he will have a high floor and snap count even in Head Coach Sean McVay‘s new two-tight end formation.
42. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (QB3): Prescott is heading into a contract year and has the best offensive weapons in the league. After he finished as the second-ranked QB last year, it’s Dak’s World.
43. James White, New England Patriots (RB18): White is an undervalued, veteran back who has a rapport with Head Coach Bill Belichek. White stacks with Cam Newton and has PPR upside.
44. Devante Parker, Miami Dolphins (WR20): Parker is the sole target hog since Allen Hurns and Albert Wilson opted out. Parker also benefits from a positive game-script, especially with Ryan Fitzpatrick.
45. Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens (TE4): Andrews is the grandfathered tight end on a limited passing team. He gets the heaviest usage of tight ends, but expect some touchdown regression.
46. Todd Gurley, Atlanta Falcons (RB19): For Gurley, volume is expected but his efficiency is in doubt because of a questionable O-line and game-script. Yes, there are injury risks here, but he’s an ideal zero-RB strategy target.
47. Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys (WR21): Gallup is the cheapest receiver with top 15 potential, making him a great steal at his current ADP. He’s on a prolific offense, has a similar role to Atlanta’s Ridley and stacks with Dak.
48. Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans (QB4): Watson benefits from an elite game-script. With Houston’s inept short yardage run game, his mobility and a receiving corps stacked with deep-stretchers, he’s gold.
49. Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams (WR22): Although he comes with some injury risk, Kupp offers touchdown/PPR/YAC upside given that the departure of Brandin Cooks frees up 70+ targets.
50. Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers (WR23): Allen has a new QB in dual-threat Tyrod Taylor, and he’s competing with Ekeler and Hunter Henry for short targets in an offense that has among the worst tempo in the league.
51. David Johnson, Houston Texans (RB20): Johnson’s volume is not in question, but his efficiency is. He’s uncomfortable running between gaps and suffers from a negative game-script, but does offer PPR upside.
52. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks (WR24): The emergence of Metcalf hurts Lockett, as does being in a run-centric offense. While Lockett does have a rapport with Russell Wilson, if you remove his two huge games, he only finished as the 28th-ranked WR last year. If you draft him, expect the frustration of boom or bust performances.
53. David Montgomery, Chicago Bears (RB21): Montgomery is the final bell cow RB in the draft. However, there’s PPR downside here as he’s uncomfortable running zone plays and the presence of Cordarrelle Patterson could throw a monkey wrench into Montgomery’s production. [UPDATE: Montgomery hurt his groin in practice on Wednesday. He’ll miss two-to-four weeks of action.]
54. Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills (WR25): Diggs heads to an improved situation with increased opportunities. He’ll Band-aid Allen’s flaws with elite speed and route running, so stack him with Allen.
55. Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars (RB22): The arrival of Chris Thompson limits Fournette’s PPR upside and he must deal with the worst RB game-script in the league. We suggest shying away, even though he’s likely to reach the end zone more this year based on his career averages.
56. Julian Edelman, New England Patriots (WR26): Edelman will benefit from Newton’s short passing and he’s the grandfathered receiver in HC Belichek’s offense. Edelman, ranked eighth in PPR last year, will lead the team in targets.
57. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (QB5): Wilson finished as the third-ranked QB last year despite Head Coach Pete Carroll‘s constipated offense. Wilson is the best deep ball thrower, with a ceiling of being the second-ranked QB in the NFL.
58. Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks (RB23): Carson is coming off a hip fracture, he’s hurt by the Carlos Hyde acquisition and he deals with persistent fumbling issues. These are all red flags, so be sure to draft his handcuff or just shy away.
59. Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos (WR27): Denver has lots of mouths to feed: Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, and Gordon. Given that this is a run-heavy offense with one of the worst paces in the league, we’d shy away.
60. Darren Waller, Las Vegas Raiders (TE5): Las Vegas added Nelson Agholor to Henry Ruggs III and Tyrell Williams as starting pass catchers. If you draft Waller expecting him to reach his ceiling, beware!
61. Mark Ingram II, Baltimore Ravens (RB24): Yes, Ingram is in a run-happy offense, but Jackson cannibalizes his touches and J.K. Dobbin is a threat. Regression, especially in touchdowns, is likely.
62. Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns (WR28): Landry is undervalued despite finishing last year as the 12th-ranked PPR receiver and the fact that he’s likely to lead in targets again. Yes, his value is capped in a run-centric offense.
63. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco 49ers (RB25): Mostert is the leading back in the league’s best backfield. He’ll have to deal with a timeshare with Tevin Coleman, Jerick Mckinnon and Jeff Wilson Jr.
64. Le’Veon Bell, New York Jets (RB26): Head Coach Adam Gase signed Frank Gore, thereby cannibalizing Bell’s production. Bell has PPR upside, but without C.J. Mosley and Jamal Adams, the Jets have a horrific game-script, so shy away.
65. Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans (WR29): Cooks is undervalued. He started 57 games to Will Fuller V‘s 41 while posting three 1,000-yard seasons in last four years. The only downside is his lack of rapport on this team.
66. Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TE6): Gronk has a rapport with Brady, but also increased blocking duties. So expect PPR downside, but YAC and touchdown upside.
67. Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals (WR30): Boyd is less likely to bust than A.J. Green. Boyd finished as the 18th-ranked WR with Andy Dalton, and in an improved offense with Joe Burrow, he’s likely to lead the team in targets.
68. D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions (RB27): Swift has a below average O-line and will likely have a 50-50 split with Kerryon Johnson. Swift must also deal with a negative game-script. [UPDATE: Swift returned to limited practice following his leg injury.]
69. D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks (WR31): Metcalf has upside based on his rapport with Wilson. He’s competing with Lockett for intermediate and deep targets, but has touchdown upside.
70. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals (QB6): Murray is a candidate to make the sophomore QB leap and the addition of Hopkins will allow him to sustain drives on third downs. Murray also offers rushing upside.
71. Sterling Sheppard, New York Giants (WR32): The undervalued Sheppard is the lead receiver in New York and will get the most opportunities. However, Could get outscored by Darius Slayton and there are injury issues.
72. Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (RB28): Singletary is best viewed as a high-upside RB3. His ceiling is capped on a slow-paced offense and his PPR value is limited. You should also draft Zack Moss as a handcuff/flex option.
73. Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens (WR33): After playing at 157 pounds last year, Brown has bulked up to 175 pounds, so expect a nice sophomore leap. Still, being on the least pass-happy team in the league limits his PPR value.
74. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (RB29): Hunt is the third down back in the tandem with Chubb. Hunt offers PPR upside and is a borderline RB1 if Chubb gets injured. Expect lower snap count for Hunt this year.
75. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (WR34): There are doubts about Rivers’ rapport with Hilton, plus injury concerns (he’s missed increasing games each year). Hilton is worth a flier at this ADP.
76. Jamison Crowder, New York Jets (WR35): The undervalued Crowder is the WR1 for Sam Darnold with Denzel Mims hurt and Robby Anderson having signed with the Panthers. Crowder has huge PPR upside.
77. A.J Green, Cincinnati Bengals (WR36): Green offers massive potential upside, but also massive downside given his lack of chemistry with HC Taylor and a new QB in Burrow.
78. Latavius Murray, New Orleans Saints (RB30): Murray is likely to play larger role in offense and will be the RB1 if Kamara if inactive. Murray offers standalone flex value.
79. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (QB7): The Bills’ defense will cap Allen’s ceiling. He’s mobile and is now paired with a top-tier receiving talent in Diggs (which makes them stackable). Allen’s game-script is neutral.
80. Antonio Gibson, Washington Redskins (RB31): Gibson offers volume and dynamic playmaking. He’s worth a flier, but expect an RBBC, not to mention the organizational dysfunction risks.
81. Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (WR37): Jones was the 28th-ranked WR last year despite only playing in 13 games. He offers uncapped upside thanks to a positive game-script and his rapport with Stafford. Jones is a deep-ball receiver.
82. Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals (WR38): Kirk is the WR2 behind the NFL’s best receiver, however, the gap between him and Hopkins is closer than their ADPs suggest. Kirk had 100+ targets in 2019.
83. Will Fuller V Houston Texans (WR39): Fuller is overrated given that his rank is inflated by Yahoo ranking him 35th among WRs. Cooks is a better buy, so shy away from Fuller.
84. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (QB8): Wentz benefits from an incredible O-line and an improved defense, but he’s facing a worse game-script. He’s mobile, but has lost an important target with Jeffery on PUP.
85. Darius Slayton, New York Giants (WR40): Slayton is New York’s best deep ball threat. It’s his second year with Jones and he has the highest ADoT on the team. Still, there a lot of mouths to feed.
86. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens (RB32): Dobbins will be in a 40-60 RBBC with Ingram and will likely deal with snap count issues because of his poor blocking. Dobbins is in the un-heaviest offense in the NFL, but Jackson cannibalizes touches.
87. Mecole Hardman, Kansas City Chiefs (WR41): Hardman has snap count issues as he’s fifth in line for targets behind Kelce, Hill, Watkins and CEH. Still, this is a dynamic and explosive receiver who can deliver major productivity with lower volume. And Hardman provides great insurance should Hill miss time.
88. Ronald Jones II, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (RB33): Jones is in an RBBC, so his snap count and touches are still risky. He’s been anointed by Head Coach Bruce Arians as the lead back, but how much of that PT will simply be acting as Brady’s meat shield as opposed to carrying the rock is up for debate.
89. Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills (RB34): Moss offers touchdown and short yardage upside, but PPR downside. He’ll be a mid-range RB2 if Singletary misses time.
90. San Francisco 49ers Defense (DEF1): Team continuity is the key. Most experts believe San Francisco has the best front seven, and with the second highest pressure rate the numbers will be there.
91. Golden Tate, New York Giants (WR42): Tate is a slot receiver with PPR upside. He could possibly lead the team in targets, but he’s competing with a lot of pass catchers with similar ADoTs.
92. Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles Rams (TE7): HC McVay’s shift towards 12 personnel will help Higbee, who produced as the third-ranked TE after the Week Nine bye. Higbee is further buoyed by the departure of Cooks and his 72 targets from last year.
93. Damien Harris, New England Patriots (RB35): Harris is in a timeshare with White, so there are snap count concerns and red zone downside. Harris does have potential PPR upside.
94. DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles (WR43): One of two healthy receivers in Philly, so he presents tremendous value when he himself is healthy. Jackson has a neutral game-script, but is an injury risk.
95. Hunter Henry, Los Angeles Chargers (TE8): Henry is likely third in the pecking order for targets on a slow offense. Taylor is likely to throw short a lot, so the volume will be there, but the overall production may be capped.
96. Jordan Howard, Miami Dolphins (RB36): Howard operates as the hammer, offering touchdown upside. According to Head Coach Brian Flores, Miami will have an “RBBC with Howard playing half the time.”
97. Justin Jackson, Los Angeles Chargers (RB37): Jackson compliments Ekeler and he should see more touches even though he’s kind of competing with Taylor. Jackson’s PPR value is a con.
98. Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts (RB38): Mack’s in an RBBC with Taylor and he’s got the best O-line in the league. Mack offers PPR upside, but red zone downside.
99. Jonnu Smith, Tennessee Titans (TE9): Smith is likely to enjoy a 10 per cent increase in target share taking him into the 80+ range. However, his upside is capped in a run-centric offense.
100. Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams (RB39): Akers has a lot going against him: he’ll play behind a bad O-line, he’s in an RBBC as a rookie, he’s not very explosive, has a negative game-script and an undefined role.
101. Pittsburgh Steelers Defense (DEF2): This defense was first in QB pressures and the core offensive group will lighten the defensive time on the field. This is arguably the best squad.
102. A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers (RB40): Dillon will take over Williams’ role and will split the backfield with Jones, 40-60. While Dillon may experience some game-script regression, he has red zone upside.
103. Cam Newton, New England Patriots (QB9): Newton is a scheme fit as he excels in the quick-hitting West Coast offense. He offers red zone upside, will benefit from top tier coaching and stacks with White/Edelman.
104. Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins (TE10): Gesicki benefits from Hurns and Wilson opting out and OC Chan Gailey‘s RPO system lends itself to short passing (which is huge given that Gesicki often lines up as the slot receiver). Gesicki also benefits from a positive game-script.
105. Mike Williams, Los Angeles Chargers (WR44): Williams is stuck in a slow-paced offense that has lots of mouths to feed. While he has the highest ADoT on the team, he’s now playing with a QB that hasn’t thrown deep. Williams does offer red zone upside, though.
106. Kerryon Johnson, Detroit Lions (RB41): Johnson is a proven back with experience, but he’s in a 50-50 split RBBC with Swift and comes with injury risks.
107. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (QB10): Ryan was the 11th-ranked QB last year through 15 games. He has a talented but questionable O-line with an elite game-script with Jones and Ridley.
108. Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals (RB42): Edmonds is a pure handcuff in the second-ranked rushing DVOA offense. In this fast-paced offense, he’d be a low-end RB1 if Drake is injured.
109. Philip Lindsay, Denver Broncos (RB43): Despite the offense’s slow pace, Lindsay should see plenty of touches and offer flex/handcuff upside.
110. Emmanuel Sanders, New Orleans Saints (WR45): Sanders is an aging veteran known for relieving pressure across from the team’s WR1. He has the potential to siphon 90+ targets.
111. Jalen Reagor, Philadelphia Eagles (WR46): Reagor will be a starter with Jeffery on PUP. However, Jackson shares a similar role and there could be rookie receiver downside.
112. Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Viking (RB44): Mattison is the most valuable handcuff in the league and his value is enhanced when paired with Cook. However, Mattison offers little standalone value.
113. Henry Ruggs III, Las Vegas Raiders (WR47): Ruggs is expected to leap-frog Williams, but he’ll have to deal with the usual rookie receiver downside, not to mention a run-centric offense and bad quarterback.
114. Matt Breida, Miami Dolphins (RB45): Breida will likely be a full-time special teams player. (HC Flores says it will be an “RBBC with Breida playing 30 per cent of the time.”) Breida is a third down back.
115. Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers (WR48): The coachable Johnson is in a high passing offense. There are lots of mouths to feed, but Johnson has the same ADoT as Smith-Schuster, so expect 75 targets.
116. New England Patriots Defense (DEF3): There’s been no exceptional changes to the Patriots’ defense, which has its plays called done by HC Belichek. Newton’s ability to sustain offensive drives elevates the defense by keeping the unit fresh.
117. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (QB11): Stafford is undervalued and finishing last year 2019 with a line of 187/2,499/19 with five interceptions in eight games. He stacks with Jones or Golladay.
118. Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns (TE11): Hooper is overvalued as his ceiling capped by a run-centric offense, and a new playbook and environment. Landry and OBJ command over 40 per cent of the target share.
119. Robbie Anderson, Carolina Panthers (WR49): Anderson is a deep stretcher with a positive game-script. His ADoTs put him in competition with Curtis Samuel, but he’s hurt by the shorter training camp.
120. James Washington, Pittsburgh Steelers (WR50): A 1,000-yard candidate, Washington has the highest ADoT of all Steelers’ receivers and represents the best value on the team.
121. Jerrick McKinnon, San Francisco 49ers (RB46): McKinnon is undervalued. Yes, he’s in an RBBC with Mostert as the lead back, but Coleman was PFF’s worst running back. While Wilson is a dark horse, reports suggest McKinnon is slotted for a third-down role.
122. T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions (TE12): The 2019 first round pick showed Gronk-esque talent in his debut. However, he has a low snap count and must compete with Danny Amendola.
123. Duke Johnson, Houston Texans (RB47): Johnson has a rapport with Watson, and given David Johnson’s proven injury history, he stands to become more valuable. Johnson is efficient, and really more than a third down back. Note that Houston may sign a free agent that would threaten Johnson’s value.
124. Chris Conley, Jacksonville Jaguars (WR51): Last year, Conley had 90+ targets for 700+ yards. He’s the 1B receiver to Chark, benefits from an elite game-script and has rapport with Gardner Minshew.
125. Malcolm Brown, Los Angeles Rams (RB48): Stuck in a timeshare between Akers and Darrell Henderson, Brown’s opportunities are largely dependent on injuries. [UPDATE: Henderson suffered a hamstring injury and @profootballdoc hinted that he may miss Week One.]
126. Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys (RB49): Pollard is the second most valuable handcuff in the NFL as a plug-and-play RB1 if Elliott misses time. So Pollard’s value is enhanced if you drafted Elliott.
127. Evan Engram, New York Giants (TE13): The Giants have many playmakers with a similar ADoT, and there are injury concerns here. With the G-Men’s scheme trending towards 11 personnel Engram may find himself doing a lot of blocking.
128. Tevin Coleman, San Francisco 49ers (RB50): Coleman is a terrible runner; in fact, he’s PFF’s most hated running back. Yes, he has a great O-line and a great Head Coach in Kyle Shanahan, but we recommend you shy away and draft McKinnon instead.
129. Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (QB12): Will Brady channel 2013 Peyton Manning? There’s boom or bust potential here as the game-script is an issue. Let the sucker in your league overdraft him.
130. Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (TE14): Doyle is undervalued given Rivers’ chemistry with tight ends. Yes, the team has a run-centric offense, but Doyle’s value is boosted because Indy brought in PFF’s third-ranked blocker from Chicago.
131. John Brown, Buffalo Bills (WR52): Brown might not make the roster when the season is done. Diggs matches the same role. so shy away.
132. Denver Broncos Defense (DEF4): Vic Fangio’s D includes Shelby Harris, Mike Purcell, Jurrell Casey, Bradley Chubb, Alexander Johnson, Todd Davis, Von Miller, Kareem Jackson, Justin Simmons, Bryce Callahan and A.J. Bouye. Should we go on?
133. Chris Herndon, New York Jets (TE15): Herndon ranked second for targets on the Jets last year. His short ADoT matches Darnold’s play style and he has an elite game-script. Better yet, Mims is reportedly injured.
134. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense (DEF5): The Bucs D is sneakily good. Last year, it ranked first in rushing defense and was top 10 in QB pressure. Better yet, the game-script is now positive.
135. Carlos Hyde, Seattle Seahawks (RB51): Given Carson’s fumbling issues and hip injury, Rashaad Penny‘s ineptitude and Seattle’s aggressive acquisition of him, Hyde has some nice handcuff value.
136. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (QB13): Rodgers’ ceiling is capped by a questionable receiving corps. Green Bay now has a run-focused, average-paced offense that is play action oriented, so that limits his touchdown upside.
137. Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis Colts (WR53): Rivers has a good history with big receivers, and Pittman has a chance to lead the team in targets. However, it’s a run-centric offense and there’s the rookie downside to consider.
138. Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles (TE16): Goedert has top 10 tight end potential if Raegor or Jackson gets hurt. He enjoys a high snap count, is a good blocker and a great insurance policy.
139. Dallas Cowboys Defense (DEF6): Despite Gerald McCoy‘s injury and subsequent release, the Cowboys’ remaining front six comprises Everson Griffen, DeMarcus Lawrence, Leighton Vander Esch, Sean Lee, Dontari Poe and Jaylon Smith.
140. Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville Jaguars (QB14): Hey, what can you say? He’s the Jaguar King.
141. Bryan Edwards, Las Vegas Raiders (WR54): Training camp standout Edwards has earned his spot on this list by outplaying Ruggs early on. With Tyrell Williams mustering through a torn labrum, Edwards has been gaining Derek Carr‘s confidence so he’ll likely man the X-receiver role.
142. Baltimore Ravens Defense (DEF7): This unit is slightly overvalued, but has a good scheme and coaching. It’s also improved this year thanks to lots of new faces. The defense spent the least time on the field last year, so tended to remain fresh. [UPDATE: Earl Thomas III‘s departure will clearly affect the defense.]
143. Allen Lazard, Green Bay Packers (WR55): Rodgers has not elevated a WR2 since Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Jace Sternberger pose competition risks.
144. Buffalo Bills Defense (DEF8): Buffalo has a dependable and suffocating D that offers a good floor for high risk/reward teams. The unit’s ceiling is limited by defensive philosophy.
145. Sony Michel (RB52): Recently off the PUP, Michel attended his first training camp practice 20 days before the season begun. He may find his shoes filled by Harris, but is worth a flier this late.
146. Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers (WR56): Aiyuk is undervalued with Samuel on PUP and Hurd nursing an expected ACL tear. Reports suggest Aiyuk came into camp ready to go and looking explosive. [UPDATE: Aiyuk is dealing with a hamstring woe, putting his Week One status in doubt.]
147. Sammy Watkins, Kansas City Chiefs (WR57): Watkins is the grandfathered lizard on a prolific offense and he has rapport with Mahomes.
148. Kansas City Chiefs Defense (DEF9): Chiefs have the best bend-don’t-break defense. They enjoy a good pressure rate and live and die by turnovers. KC’s D finished top 10 in 2019.
149. Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers (QB15): Garoppolo’s ceiling is low. He finished as the 15th-ranked QB last year, but is likely to throw more. He’s an undervalued stack with Kittle. [UPDATE: receivers injury report — Samuels on PUP; Aiyuk’s opener in question; and Hurd on IR.]
150. Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears (RB53): Although he’s not a great talent, Cohen should be the primary beneficiary from Montgomery’s groin strain (that will keep him out up to four weeks).
RotoRob Tune of the Day
Scottish Indie pop band Camera Obscura have been at it since 1996. In 2003, the band released its second album, Underachievers Please Try Harder, an effort that closed with the haunting track “Lunar Sea.”
Now it’s your turn. Let us know in the comments below who’s too high, too low or missing from our Top 150 Rankings for Fantasy Football for 2020.